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  • #631237
    dietplan
    Member

    This is my first time offering a service like this but I find myself without a site and way too much time on my hands. I am not a professional writer but I am a very experienced sports bettor. I’ve bet sports for 15+ years and it’s what I do best. I make picks in NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, PGA, and Nascar. Over the years I’ve hit over 60% at least once in every sport apart from baseball but in baseball I bet a lot of underdogs so obviously my winning % will be lower.

    About my picks. Write ups will be between 400-500 words and will cost $20 each which comes to a little under 5 cents per word. The picks I write are picks I bet myself although if someone wanted a pick for a specific game I guess I can handicap the game and do a write up but win % may be a lit lower. I’m also only doing a few picks per day at most and if I do a game for one person I won’t rewrite it for someone else. Not only is the content unique but the pick is also unique to one person. So for golf and nascar just one person a week would get those.

    I’ll post a few examples in this thread. (all writes up were done before the games)

    NFL, NBA and NHL will be the same as the hockey example below.

    MLB will obviously be the same as the baseball example below.

    Nascar and Golf will be the same as the Nascar example below except golf will have 5 picks and Nascar 3 picks.

    #835779
    dietplan
    Member
    Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

    Head to Head

    The Philadelphia Flyers visit the TD Banknorth Garden to take on the 1st place Boston Bruins. The Bruins have won both match-ups this season. In the first game Boston won handily downing the Flyers 6-1 with two goal performances by Jarome Iginla and Zdeno Chara. The second game was much closer with the Bruins winning in a shoot out even though the Flyers out-shot the Bruins 52-30.

    Head to Head Trends

    Bruins are 12-3 in their last 15 games versus Flyers
    Bruins are 2-0 versus the Flyers this season.
    Flyers are 1-5 in their last 6 games in Boston.

    Philadelphia Flyers (39-28-9)

    The Philadelphia Flyers are 3rd in the Metropolitan division with 87 points and are in a good position to make the playoffs. Philly is 16-14-7 on the road this season where they average just 2.62 goals per game on offense versus 2.92 goals per game on defense. Just a couple weeks ago the Flyers were one of the hottest teams in the NHL winning 12 of 15 games but have since cooled off with just 1 win in their last 6 games.

    Philadelphia Flyers Trends

    Flyers are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall.
    Flyers are 0-5 in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record.
    Over is 18-6-3 in the Flyers last 27 games on the road.

    Boston Bruins (52-18-7)

    The Boston Bruins are 1st in the Atlantic division with 111 points. That also puts them 1st place in the Eastern conference eight points up on the second place Pittsburgh Penguins. The Bruins are 29-7-3 at home this season where they average over 3 goals per game on offense and allow just 1.67 goals per game on defense. To show just how strong the Bruins have been this year. They rank 3rd in the league for goals scored and 2nd in the league for goals against so that’s a very hard combination to beat. After winning 15 of their last 16 games the Bruins have lost back to back games and are in danger of losing 3 in a row for the first time all season.

    Boston Bruins Trends

    Bruins are 17-5 in their last 22 game versus the Metropolitan division.
    Bruins are 37-14 in their last 51 games played on home ice.
    Bruins are 15-3 over their last 18 games.

    Free Pick: Boston Bruins -180

    The Boston Bruins are arguably the best team in the NHL and have owned Philly of late winning 12 of the last 15 meetings. The Philadelphia Flyers although red hot a couple weeks ago have cooled off losing 5 of their last 6 games. I think the Bruins avoid their first 3 game losing streak of the season and pick up the win today versus the Flyers.

    #835780
    dietplan
    Member
    San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

    Head to Head

    This is the second game of a three game series between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins. In the first game Miami spanked the Padres 8-2. The Marlins have won the last 4 games versus the Padres outscoring them 25-5 in those 4 games.

    Head to Head Trends

    Marlins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
    Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings

    Pitching Match-up (Andrew Cashner vs Jose Fernandez)

    The pitching match-up in this one features Andrew Cashner for the Padres and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. This is Cashner’s 5th season in the majors and 2nd as a full time starter. Last season he went 10-9 with a 3.09 era. In Cashner’s first start this season he pitched 6 solid innings giving up 4 hits and 1 earned run. This is Fernandez’s 2nd season in the majors. Last season he went 12-6 with a 2.19 era and piled up 187 strikeouts in just 172 innings. Fernandez also has just one start so far this season. In that one he went 6 innings allowing 1 earned run and struck out 9.

    San Diego Padres (1-4)

    I know it’s early in the season but it looks like the same old Padres. They are 1-4 on the season and have been out scored 17-8. The Padres problem over the last few years has been scoring runs and so far this season has been no different. They have averaged just two runs per game and are batting under .200. The Padres are also a much better home team than road team. Over the past two seasons they were 87-75 at home but just 65-97 on the road.

    San Diego Padres Trends

    Padres are 17-36 in April over the last 3 seasons.
    Padres are 65 and 97 on the road over the last 2 seasons.
    Padres have won 5 of their last 17 games versus the National League East.

    Miami Marlins (4-1)

    The Miami Marlins are looking to put last seasons last place finish behind them. They stunk it up pretty bad last season winning just 62 games and finished a whopping 34 games back of the Atlanta Braves. So far this the Marlins are actually looking good winning 4 of their first 5 games. They are really hitting the ball well averaging 7 runs per game and have a batting average of .305.

    Miami Marlins Trends

    Marlins are 14-2 in Fernandez’s last 16 starts at home.
    Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games.
    Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 versus the National League West.

    Free Pick: Miami Marlins ML -144

    I really like the Marlins in this one. Their bats are on fire and Fernandez is a beast. We also have a Padres team that are off to a cold start and don’t play well on the road in general.

    #835781
    dietplan
    Member
    Duck Commander 500

    Track

    This week the NASCAR Sprint cup series heads to the 1.5 mile Texas Motor Speedway for the Duck Commander 500. Last season Kyle Busch won the spring race while Jimmie Johnson won the fall race here. The eventual race winner has started no worse then 5th position in the last six Texas races.

    Matt Kenseth (11-1)

    Matt Kenseth is second in the points standings 9 points back of leader Dale Earnhardt Jr. In 23 races at the Texas Motor Speedway Kenseth has an average finishing position of 8.3 which leads all active drivers. Kenseth also has 2 wins and 13 top 5’s at Texas plus he is the current laps led leader with 775. Kenseth hasn’t had the best car so far this week. He was just 29th fastest in the first practice but bounced back a bit for 11th fastest in the final practice. Kenseth will be starting pretty far back in 26th position but if anyone can work their way up to the front I think Matt can.

    Matt Kenseth Stats

    Kenseth has an average finishing position of 8.3 at Texas.
    Kenseth leads all drivers with 775 laps led at Texas.
    Kenseth is 2nd in the points standings.

    Dale Earnhardt Jr. (12-1)

    Dale Earnhardt Jr. has had an incredible start to the 2014 season winning the Daytona 500 and is actually leading the points standings 7 races into the season. That win wasn’t a fluke either. In 7 starts this season Dale Jr. has finished in the top 5 four times. In 23 starts at the Texas Motor Speedway Earnhardt has 13 top 10 finishes and has led 448 laps. Earnhardt had the 4th fastest car in the 1st practice but just the 26th fastest in the final practice. He will be starting in the 19th position.

    Dale Earnhardt Stats

    Earnhardt leads the points standings.
    Earnhardt has 13 top 10’s at Texas.
    Earnhardt has 4 top 5 finishes this season.

    Joey Logano (16-1)

    This may be bit of a long shot pick considering Logano only has 3 Sprint Cup wins in his career but last season he showed signs of being a top driver with 11 top 5 finishes. So far this season Logano ranks 8th in the points and has 3 top 5 finishes. Last season Logano finished 5th and 3rd in the two races at the Texas Motor Speedway. Joey had the 17th fastest speed in the final practice and will be starting the race in 10th position.

    Joey Logano Stats

    Logano is 8th in the points standings.
    Logano finished 3rd in the last race at Texas.
    Logano has 3 tops 5 finishes this season

    #836006
    dietplan
    Member

    Still a few spots available is anyone is interested.

Viewing 5 posts - 1 through 5 (of 5 total)